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Energy and Industry Section, Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft University of Technology
Focusing on the JASSS audience, the question rises what this book will bring to complexity modeling in social simulation. Overall, it is a useful set of chapters for the JASSS audience that is looking for new approaches and promising developments. The title may be confusing, because the focus on modeling is stronger than one would expect.
As mentioned, the volume has a strong focus on the simulation of complex systems, also in the first, theoretical, part which is called concepts for complexity modeling. The advice for modeling and dealing with complexity (mainly from Sitte, chapter 2) is very useful and can be helpful for many modelers. Furthermore, the first part provides a variety of definitions, typologies and overviews of core concepts related to complexity and simulation (e.g., complexity, model, simulation, emergence, self-organization and chaos). The first part, however, does not read as an introduction into complexity, emergence, or complexity modeling. Also interesting is the attempt of Chen et al. (chapter 4) to develop a formalism incorporating multiple levels of scale, rather than just observing the emergent properties from a lower modeled level. Applications of such an approach still need to show its merits. The chapters in this first part lack connections to the parts presenting applications (expect for chapters 5 and 10, which are both by Gecow).
The other four parts deal with case studies of complexity modeling. Many of the models are still at a conceptual level and present the results of work in progress. Some of the developments are well-structured, well-written, innovative and insightful (amongst others, chapter 11 by Corson et al., chapter 13 by Bertelle et al., and chapter 15 by Ramaekers et al.). In addition, most of the chapters are well-embedded in their scientific context: they are clearly relevant from a scientific point of view.
Only a few chapters report on implementations, and present promising but preliminary results. What is lacking is the linkage to society. Especially in complexity modeling, parts of the research should have a strong focus on problem-solving applications in real-world situations. There is a huge potential on the domains described (e.g. planning, collaboration, etc.). Not a single chapter describes the issues that 'emerge' when complexity modeling is applied in practice: when problem-owners need to use the tools that are proposed. That would lead to many new issues that need to be tackled or incorporated in the setup of complexity modeling studies: privacy of medical data, dealing with information withholding, coupling of ICT systems, incomplete data, etc.
A volume containing a variety of modeling studies could benefit from a common chapter structure, i.e., prescribing a number of modeling components in their presentation. That would prevent that vital modeling aspects are lacking, which is the case in some of the chapters in this volume, i.e., modeling objective, verification and validation, interpretation and reflection of modeling results. That would also give ample opportunity for synthesis of the different approaches and of the approaches with the theoretical first part.
In conclusion, the four points of critique mentioned earlier are: 1. Most of the work remains on a conceptual level and conclude in a lot of potential. 2. The model presentations are sometimes incomplete (for instance lacking a clear modeling objective, validation of models and sound interpretation). 3. No connection is made to applications in the real-world. 4. No attempt is made for synthesis between the different parts in this volume. Nevertheless, this volume brings the JASSS audience a variety of new perspectives on complexity and emergence and a portfolio of approaches that can be used for complexity modeling.
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© Copyright Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 2010